The Tampa Bay Rays visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets on June 15th, 2025 at 1:40 pm. With the Rays holding a record of 37-32 and the Mets at 45-25, this matchup presents an intriguing battle. Check out the latest betting odds, with the Rays at +139 on the moneyline and the Mets at -166. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best bets for this game. Key players to watch include Jonathan Aranda for the Rays, boasting a .322 batting average with 8 home runs and 37 RBIs. For the Mets, Pete Alonso is a standout with a .298 average, 17 home runs, and 63 RBIs. Mark Vientos is out with a hamstring injury, which could impact the Mets’ lineup. The Rays have won their last two matchups against the Mets, making this game even more compelling as both teams look to secure a crucial win.
After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 40%, while the Mets have a win probability of 60%
Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Mets 5-3 Rays with a confidence score of 70%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.
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The Rays face the Mets with the home team favored on the moneyline. Tampa Bay’s recent form and solid performances from players like Jonathan Aranda could make them a viable option for bettors, especially considering their past success against New York.
The Tampa Bay Rays, with a solid road record, could find value in the run line against the New York Mets. However, with Pete Alonso leading the Mets’ offense at home, this matchup might tighten up, making it critical for both teams to leverage their starting pitchers effectively to cover the spread.
The Rays and Mets have shown a tendency to combine for runs, averaging around 8.5 in their recent matchups. However, both teams are dealing with key injuries and their starting pitchers’ performances could heavily influence the scoring. Monitoring the effectiveness of the bullpens will also be crucial in determining if this game hits the total.