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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions

June 16 10:10 PM (Live)
SDPA Dodger Stadium

Padres vs. Dodgers Matchup Overview

The San Diego Padres visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 16th, 2025 at 10:10 pm. The Dodgers are favored at -143 on the moneyline, while the Padres sit at +125. This matchup features two teams with solid records, as the Padres are 38-31 and the Dodgers are 42-29. For those looking to place a bet, check out The Edge AI sports betting tool for the best odds on the moneyline, spread, and over-under. Key players to watch include Manny Machado for the Padres, boasting a .316 batting average with 10 home runs and 43 RBIs, and Freddie Freeman for the Dodgers, hitting .338 with 9 home runs and 41 RBIs. Both players are crucial to their teams’ offensive success. There are no reported injuries for either team, which means both lineups should be at full strength. In their recent matchup history, the Dodgers have had the upper hand, winning two of the last three meetings, making this a game to keep an eye on.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
  • Time: 10:10 PM
  • Venue: Dodger Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres -1.5 (-162) (+1.5 (-160 FanDuel)), Dodgers -1.5 (+142) (-1.5 (+132 FanDuel))
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (-120/100) (Over 8.5 (-115 FanDuel), Under 8.5 (-105 FanDuel))
  • Moneyline Odds: Padres +125 (+128 (FanDuel)), Dodgers -143 (-152 (FanDuel))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 43%, while the Dodgers have a win probability of 57%

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Dodgers 5-4 Padres with a confidence score of 70%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
43%
57%
Confidence Level: 65.4%

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Over/Under
43%
57%
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
43%
57%
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

The Padres face the Dodgers in a crucial NL West matchup, with the Dodgers favored on the moneyline. San Diego’s strong hitters like Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. could create problems for Los Angeles, but the Dodgers have been solid at home, making this an interesting game for bettors assessing the moneyline.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line

The San Diego Padres, with a recent record of 40-30 against the spread, face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have struggled at home with a 32-40 ATS record. Considering the Dodgers’ strong offensive lineup led by Freddie Freeman, they could cover the run line, but the Padres have the potential to keep it close with key players like Manny Machado. Starting pitching and recent form will likely play crucial roles in determining the outcome.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Over/Under

The Padres and Dodgers have combined for an average of 8.5 runs in their last five meetings, reflecting strong offensive capabilities. However, both teams have shown fluctuations in their pitching effectiveness recently, which could impact scoring. Monitoring the starters’ performance will be crucial in determining if the total hits the mark.

39-31
All
43-29
21-12
Home
25-12
18-19
Away
18-17
23-17
as Fav
40-27
16-14
as Dog
3-2
40-30
ATS
32-40
20-13
ATS Home
17-20
20-17
ATS Away
15-20
29-39
O/U
42-29
13-19
O/U Home
24-12
16-20
O/U Away
18-17
RESULT
WIN 8-2
DATE
06/15
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
LOSE 7-8
DATE
06/14
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
LOSE 1-5
DATE
06/13
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
LOSE 5-2
DATE
06/11
SPREAD
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
WIN 1-11
DATE
06/10
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
WIN 4-5
DATE
06/15
SPREAD
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
WIN 5-11
DATE
06/14
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
LOSE 6-2
DATE
06/13
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
WIN 5-2
DATE
06/11
SPREAD
O/U
u9.5
RESULT
LOSE 1-11
DATE
06/10
SPREAD
O/U
WHO WON
Dodgers logo LAD
RESULT
5-2
DATE
06/11
WHO WON
Padres logo SD
RESULT
1-11
DATE
06/10
WHO WON
Dodgers logo LAD
RESULT
8-7
DATE
06/09
WHO WON
Dodgers logo LAD
RESULT
0-2
DATE
10/11
WHO WON
Dodgers logo LAD
RESULT
8-0
DATE
10/09

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

0
At Bats
0
0
Runs
0
0
Hits
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0.313
On Base Percentage
0.339
0.378
Slugging Percentage
0.459
3.53
Earned Run Average
4.19
0
Earned Runs
0
0
Home Runs
0
0
Walks
0
0
Strikeouts
0
0
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
0
1.21
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.32
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.316
10
43
84
0.277
13
31
73
0.274
3
26
71
0.231
3
25
56
0.266
12
40
59
0.219
4
10
32
0.241
5
17
35
0.236
0
13
30
0.185
3
7
17
0.220
0
9
20
0.224
0
5
19
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
2-5
4.28
1.30
96
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
7-2
3.40
1.05
88
2-5
4.28
1.30
96
3-4
3.57
1.40
41
3-2
3.50
1.32
34
5-2
1.54
1.20
39
2-3
2.53
1.16
44
3-1
4.07
1.42
25
1-2
3.23
0.88
33
2-1
3.14
1.19
32
3-3
2.83
1.01
30
0-1
3.60
0.95
18
1-0
2.33
0.98
16
0-1
3.12
1.27
11
0-0
9.00
3.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster
Batters
AVG
HR
RBI
H
0.297
25
41
83
0.281
13
46
72
0.267
9
35
67
0.336
9
41
76
0.264
13
50
58
0.239
9
35
51
0.173
4
13
34
0.247
10
34
47
0.317
6
38
59
0.210
7
18
29
0.219
2
6
21
0.382
2
11
26
0.205
1
7
8
Starting pitcher
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
Pitchers
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
6-5
2.64
1.09
90
4-4
4.46
1.34
67
4-1
2.86
1.02
46
2-2
2.78
1.15
35
1-2
3.86
1.01
38
4-1
3.70
1.14
22
2-0
2.70
1.03
42
2-0
3.25
1.30
20
1-1
5.68
1.38
19
2-0
3.65
1.14
22
4-2
4.22
1.27
34
1-2
6.05
1.29
18
0-0
5.40
1.53
10
0-0
9.00
2.80
1
0-0
21.00
3.00
0
0-0
0.00
1.71
3
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
0-0
0.00
0.00
0
full roster