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Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Predictions

June 16 07:35 PM (Final)
FDSSU George M. Steinbrenner Field

Orioles vs. Rays Matchup Overview

The Baltimore Orioles travel to George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays on June 16th, 2025, at 7:35 pm. The Orioles hold a record of 29-40, while the Rays are better positioned at 38-32. For those looking to place bets, check the current moneyline, spread, and over-under for insights. The Edge AI sports betting tool can help you find the best options. Ryan O’Hearn is a key player for the Orioles, boasting a .310 batting average and 10 home runs. Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday are also contributing solidly to the offense. However, O’Hearn is questionable due to left ankle discomfort, and Ryan Mountcastle is out with a hamstring strain, which could impact Baltimore’s lineup. For the Rays, Jonathan Aranda leads with a .316 average and 8 home runs, while Yandy Díaz and Brandon Lowe add depth to the batting order. The recent matchup history shows the Rays have won two out of the last three meetings, adding another layer to this intriguing contest.

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Monday, June 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:35 PM
  • Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles — (—) (+1.5 (-196 FanDuel)), Rays — (—) (-1.5 (+162 FanDuel))
  • Total (Over/Under): 0.0 (/) (Over 9.0 (-110 FanDuel), Under 9.0 (-110 FanDuel))
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles +105 (+108 (FanDuel)), Rays — (-126 (FanDuel))

Edge AI Win Probabilities

After 1,000 simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 100%, while the Rays have a win probability of 0%

Projected Final Score

Our Edge AI predicts a final score of Orioles 5-3 Rays with a confidence score of 85%. These projections are based on 1,000 simulations and hundreds of data points, ensuring you have the most accurate predictions to inform your betting strategy.

Point Spread
Final Score
1
7
Confidence Level: 72.1%

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Over/Under
Final Score
1
7
Confidence Level: 58.7%

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Moneyline
Final Score
1
7
Confidence Level: 68.5%

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Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline

The Orioles travel to Tampa Bay to face the Rays in a matchup that could sway the moneyline odds. With Ryan O’Hearn’s status uncertain due to injury, Baltimore’s lineup may be impacted, giving the Rays a potential edge at home. Bettors should consider the recent trends and player performances as they weigh their options.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Run Line

The Baltimore Orioles, with a road run line record that raises eyebrows, face the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field. The Rays have shown they can score at home, which could challenge the Orioles’ ability to cover. Key injuries and pitching matchups will likely play a significant role in determining if either team can pull away enough to beat the spread.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Over/Under

The Orioles and Rays have shown some offensive pop recently, averaging around 8.5 runs in their last few matchups. However, the uncertainty surrounding Ryan O’Hearn’s status for Baltimore could impact their run production. With both teams having fluctuating pitching performances, the total runs could swing either way depending on how the starters fare tonight.

30-41
All
40-32
16-19
Home
24-20
14-22
Away
16-12
21-27
as Fav
25-18
9-14
as Dog
15-14
26-45
ATS
37-35
11-24
ATS Home
18-26
15-21
ATS Away
19-9
32-35
O/U
28-41
20-14
O/U Home
15-26
12-21
O/U Away
13-15
RESULT
LOSE 5-6
DATE
05/24
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o9.0
RESULT
LOSE 5-19
DATE
05/23
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
o9.5
RESULT
LOSE 6-3
DATE
05/14
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
o8.5
RESULT
LOSE 2-6
DATE
04/26
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
LOSE 1-7
DATE
06/16
SPREAD
+1.5
O/U
u9.0
RESULT
WIN 1-7
DATE
06/16
SPREAD
-1.5
O/U
u9.0
RESULT
WIN 9-0
DATE
06/15
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
WIN 8-4
DATE
06/14
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
WIN 7-5
DATE
06/13
SPREAD
O/U
RESULT
LOSE 3-4
DATE
06/11
SPREAD
O/U
u9.5
WHO WON
Rays logo TB
RESULT
1-7
DATE
06/16
WHO WON
Rays logo TB
RESULT
2-0
DATE
09/08
WHO WON
Rays logo TB
RESULT
7-1
DATE
09/07
WHO WON
Orioles logo BAL
RESULT
0-2
DATE
09/06
WHO WON
Rays logo TB
RESULT
1-2
DATE
08/11

BOX SCORE: MLB TEAM STATS & PLAYER STATS

17
At Bats
24
1
Runs
7
3
Hits
12
2
Walks
2
9
Strikeouts
2
0.306
On Base Percentage
0.314
0.398
Slugging Percentage
0.393
4.90
Earned Run Average
3.45
7
Earned Runs
1
2
Home Runs
1
2
Walks
2
2
Strikeouts
9
3
Strikeouts Per 9 Innings
15
1.41
Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched
1.18
Batters
AB
HR
RBI
H
239
8
27
62
228
7
19
53
203
10
27
63
199
11
34
47
162
4
23
45
126
8
17
33
111
7
14
26
84
4
12
20
43
0
2
8
Starting pitcher
IP
ER
K
BB
53
24
36
7
Pitchers
IP
ER
K
BB
80
30
46
14
79
44
61
21
64
37
68
23
61
41
67
32
53
24
36
7
31
13
27
11
31
9
41
6
30
10
35
15
27
12
36
16
24
10
28
8
24
10
27
7
23
8
31
17
0
0
0
0

INJURY REPORT

NAME
POS
STATUS
INJURY
NOTES
POS
RF
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Ankle
Notes
O'hearn is dealing with left ankle discomfort and is uncertain to take the field for the Orioles.
POS
LF
STATUS
Questionable
INJURY
Soreness
Notes
Cowser is dealing with general soreness and is uncertain to take the field for the Orioles.
full roster and injuries
Batters
AB
HR
RBI
H
264
10
41
70
260
17
45
64
253
13
37
65
216
8
39
69
187
5
20
40
158
2
18
34
145
6
17
29
142
5
15
30
123
1
18
37
107
1
9
24
105
3
8
25
92
3
7
20
Starting pitcher
IP
ER
K
BB
81
30
73
24
Pitchers
IP
ER
K
BB
86
37
58
11
81
30
73
24
78
38
71
33
77
39
71
30
74
21
62
15
29
15
30
13
29
4
27
12
28
7
25
14
23
14
31
11
22
12
22
4
12
4
10
3
10
4
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
full roster